Russia may launch armed 'provocation' on Poland, report says
· Toronto Sun
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Russian President Vladimir Putin has apparently set his military sights on Poland.
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A report in The Telegraph newspaper in Britain appears to corroborate a story earlier this week in the Polish press of a possible armed “provocation” on Poland’s territory.
Citing sources in Polish intelligence and people close to Poland President Karol Nawrocki, online outlet Onet reports the United States has repeatedly warned of possible drone attacks or simulated air strikes on critical infrastructure.
A worst case scenario would involve a “hybrid attack” in a border region by Russian or Belarusian soldiers.
Test resolve of NATO allies
But the Polish report said the attack won’t be part of a “full-scale Russian invasion” but a “limited-scale military provocation” to test the resolve of NATO allies.
“The fact that such a risk exists was first confirmed to Onet by an interlocutor from the leadership of the Polish secret services, according to whom NATO has intelligence on the subject,” reads a translation from the report.
“This information was subsequently confirmed by the ambassador of one of Poland’s key NATO allies.”
Baltic states could also be targeted
The report also said the attacks could also occur in one of the Baltic countries of Latvia, Lithuania or Estonia, which border Russia.
However, European security sources told both publications that Russia views Poland as a better option than the Baltic states.
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“Russia could then try to claim that the provocation was carried out by Ukraine,” The Telegraph reported. “A Russian ground attack could be launched either from Konigsberg, a Russian enclave north of Poland that hosts nuclear weapons, or from Belarus.”
The actions apparently are a ploy to undermine Poland’s sovereignty and cast NATO as a “paper tiger” unworthy of membership.
Deadliest conflict since WWII
Russia has been in an ongoing conflict with its neighbour Ukraine since its invasion of the Crimean peninsula in February 2014.
In February 2022, Russia launched a full-scale war with Ukraine that has been the deadliest in Europe since the Second World War.
According to research by the Center for Strategic and International Studies revealed on Wednesday, it is estimated that Russia has endured 1.4 million casualties, including as many as 450,000 deaths on the battlefield and counting injured and missing soldiers as well.
In January, the organization said Ukrainian forces likely suffered somewhere between 500,000 and 600,000 casualties , which included those killed, wounded, and missing, and between 100,000 and 140,000 fatalities between February 2022 and December 2025.
Early Thursday, Russian missile and drone strikes rocked Ukraine’s capital Kyiv in response to attacks in recent weeks against Russia’s energy infrastructure and military targets.